Stage 2 of 10 · from idea to first customer

Check demand before you build

Use search data, competitors and quick polls to see whether enough people want this problem solved.

A problem can be real and still too small to build a business on. Here you measure demand with free data: what people type into Google, how interest moves over time, what competitors already charge and what your network says when you ask a neutral question.

None of these methods proves people will pay. Together they tell you whether the market is big enough and busy enough to justify talking to customers in the next stage.

What you should have at the end of this stage

A one-page demand check: search interest, a competitor grid, a bottom-up market estimate and your riskiest assumption written as a testable statement.

The 10 methods in this stage

Method 11

Google Trends Analysis

Compare search interest over time and by region to see whether a problem is growing, steady, seasonal or fading.

Beginner1 to 2 hours
Method 12

Google Keyword Validation

Use Google Keyword Planner to see how many people search for your problem each month and whether advertisers pay to reach them.

Beginner2 to 3 hours
Method 13

AnswerThePublic Research

Turn one seed word into hundreds of real search questions, then group them into problem clusters and pick the strongest one.

Beginner2 hours
Method 14

Google Autocomplete and People Also Ask

Type your problem into Google, letter by letter, and log what it suggests plus the People Also Ask questions: free, fast demand clues.

Beginner45 minutes to 1 hour
Method 15

Bottom-Up Market Sizing

Count the customers you can actually reach, multiply by what they would pay, and get a market size you can defend in one spreadsheet.

Intermediate3 to 4 hours
Method 16

Competitor Analysis Grid

Put 5 to 10 competitors, workarounds and the option of doing nothing in one spreadsheet, then find the gap nobody serves well.

Beginner3 to 5 hours
Method 17

X (Twitter) Advanced Search

Search X with exact phrases, filters and operators to find people complaining about your problem or wishing a fix existed.

Beginner1 to 2 hours
Method 18

Google Alerts Monitoring

Let Google email you new pages about your competitors and your problem, then turn them into a 20-minute weekly note on demand.

Beginner30 minutes to set up, 20 minutes a week
Method 19

LinkedIn Poll Validation

Run a neutral LinkedIn poll about a problem, then message the voters: the poll finds people, the conversations bring the proof.

Beginner1 hour to set up, 1 week to run
Method 20

Assumption Mapping

Write down everything your idea needs to be true, find the riskiest belief with the least proof, and test that one first.

Intermediate2 to 3 hours

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